2018 by AI
Looking for the artificial intelligence take on 2018? We’ve got it, from GeoQuant, whose machine-learning software scrapes the Net for significant volumes of reputable data, news and social media content to generate an assessment.
According to that data crunching, GeoQuant expects a managed, aka soft, Brexit in Europe including a trade agreement with the EU that avoids a reversion to WTO rules.
Geopolitically, the machines expect that Putin/Russia will be more domestically focused in the first half of the year due to the March election, while China will aim to consolidate its recent geopolitical gains – made largely at the US’s expense – rather than aggressively expand.
But there’s no question we continue to live in a more dangerous, though moderating, world. “Our geopolitical risk scores for South Korea and Japan – a solid proxy for the North Korea showdown – and Saudi Arabia are higher than any time since 2007, and there are plenty of fat-tail risks on the table for 2018,” says GeoQuant. “[We] simply anticipate that those tails will be slimmer than during the precedent-shattering 2017.”